Revenue was light. In general, weaker than everyone expected on the top line and guidance was similarly weaker than what everyone was expecting on the top line.
Source: cnbc.com
Want to know how a stock like AAPL goes from $705 to $485 in three months for no real reason? Here’s the truth about how the market works.
Source: youtube.com
Green line: me.
Blue line: S&P 500.
123.17% gain in a month. Not too shabby.
Tim Cook, Pimp of the Year.
Here’s a list of all the analysts that cover AAPL, and how close they were to getting their earnings numbers right. The ones in blue are amateurs. The ones in red are professionals. This is why I’m not in finance these days. But hey, props to Deutsche Bank for managing thirteenth.
Source: CNN
This is how it feels to be an Apple shareholder this week.
If you haven’t heard, iPads are sold out nationwide and it’s not even out yet, and the Wall Street Journal just confirmed that iPhone 4.0 is coming in June. Just for kicks, they led everyone to believe there’ll be a Verizon and Sprint iPhone by Christmas, too. You’re welcome.
Source: thatvideogameblog.com
AppleInsider | Apple to build 8-10M iPads in 2010, begins shipping preorders
In a new note to investors, analyst Katy Huberty with Morgan Stanley said suppliers for the iPad have currently forecast 2.5 million iPads to be shipped in the first three months of availability, from March to May. In all, Apple will ship between 8 million and 10 million by the end of 2010, suppliers said — a number much higher than the previous expectation of 5 million.
My forecast was for 1.5 million by the end of the first three months, and ten million by the end of the year. I think if Huberty’s right in the short-term, then she’s shallow on the long-run number. 2.5 million should convert to ~12 million units by the end of the year. The acceleration in sales is going to be incredible once the app scene picks up and provides a torrent of compelling reasons to own the device.
Source: appleinsider.com
On Apple's $40 billion, and the question of dividends
Apple has not declared a dividend since December of 1995. After the last shareholder meeting, Steve Jobs stated that the money was best left in the bank so there would be no question of loans if something big was to be bought. “The cash in the bank gives us tremendous flexibility,” explained Steve.
That’s true, but that’s not the reason for no dividend. Dividends necessarily impact market capitalization negatively. Few things, in my mind, are as important to Mr. Jobs as Apple exceeding Microsoft in terms of market capitalization. AAPL needs to get to around $300 per share for this to happen; it’s trading at $235 today after trading as low as $78 a year ago. Jobs will do nothing to harm his ability to reach this goal, unless it’s significantly positive for the business. For example, long-term component deals, minor acquisitions and similar methods of using that warchest are fine. Simply “giving it away” to shareholders that are already seeing a gigantic yield? Never.
Source: tuaw.com
Jerry joined Apple’s Board in 1997 when most doubted the company’s future. He has been a pillar of financial and business expertise and insight on our Board for over a dozen years. It’s been a privilege to know and work with Jerry, and I’m going to miss him a lot.
Carriers seek new business models to afford iPhone bandwidth
What’d I tell you? The carriers didn’t even wait a day before following up on the pre-meditated comments by the CEO of RIM (maker of Blackberry). Here comes the Net Neutrality battle all over again. Guess what? Google’s gonna win, so build some more towers.
Vittorio Colao, CEO of Vodafone, said at the Mobile World Congress in Barcelona, Spain, on Tuesday that the demand for data in mobile devices has become a problem for carriers. According to Reuters, he specifically named Google and said the company should not be allowed to control the flow of money through dominating the search and advertising market. To get their fair share, Colao said, carriers could charge customers more for greater bandwidth, or guaranteed high speeds. They could also charge content providers, and guarantee them bandwidth speeds as well.
Vodafone was also among the carriers that yesterday announced an über-app platform that will supposedly work across a diverse array of devices and carriers. For such a standard to exist requires the worst kinds of compromise, taking out of account the unique strengths that each device brings to bear, as well as limiting the code to languages understood by all of the platforms. In this case, that would mean only HTML and Javascript.
There are some great iPhone webapps, but they can’t hold a candle to those that run in Cocoa Touch. The carrier app store model will fail, as will their attempts to continue to fight their way into content. The sooner they realize that they are destined to be dumb pipes, the sooner they can get to improving their networks and making their businesses more efficient; that’s their only path to higher profits.
Source: appleinsider.com
Blackberry Maker RIM Warns of Bandwidth Crisis
Taking aim at rivals like Apple, BlackBerry-maker Research in Motion said on Tuesday that smartphone manufacturers must start developing less bandwidth-guzzling products or risk choking already congested airwaves.
Translation: Your multimedia, consumer-friendly devices are killing us, and not slowly.
“Manufacturers had better start building more efficient applications and more efficient services. There is no real way to get around this,” Lazaridis said in an interview. “If we don’t start conserving that bandwidth, in the next few years we are going to run into a capacity crunch. You are already experiencing the capacity crunch in the United States.”
Translation: Our business plan is to lobby the FCC into data rationing and provide political cover for our telco partners that decide to charge by the bit in order to weaken our competitors without strengthening our own position.
At the same time, smartphones consume 30 times as much bandwidth as a traditional cellphone, with iPhones — or “iHogs” as an analyst recently dubbed them in a report — some of the worst offenders.
Translation: The term “iHogs” was created specifically for this CNBC reporter’s use by RIM.
“That is pretty fundamental to a carrier as that means you can have three paying Blackberry browsing customers for every one other customer,” Lazaridis said.
“That has a huge advantage for the carriers if you think about the many billions of dollars the carriers have invested over the last five years in spectrum auctions and infrastructure rollouts,” he said.
The carriers, not the end-users, are our customers. And this is based on the assumption that you can find three Blackberry purchasers for each iPhone, WinPhone7 or Android user. I don’t think that’s going to be the case moving forward.
RIM needs to rewrite their underlying OS, make it more friendly to developers, and offer non-business users a compelling reason to use their product. Because the issue is, there’s no such thing as a business phone customer anymore. There are just people using phones they want to use. Ask the IT guys that have been implementing iPhones like crazy at the enterprise level.
Source: cnbc.com
Apple's Decade: How It Can Hit $500
I didn’t even read it. I just went O_o and got a little excited and moved on.
Source: thestreet.com


